Community Challenge
What might the futures of democracy look like?
?
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Engage in our community challenge to collaboratively explore and learn about the futures of democracy. Open to all, the challenge runs from November 2 to November 30, 2023. All results are fully accessible to every participant.

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Interactive survey: Futures of Democracy

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Community Challenge
What might the futures of democracy look like?
Isabel
The global south will turn fully on western democracies and often choose security over freedom. They will ally themselves with eastern players such as China and India and also Russia. The West will loose power to the East.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Isabel
We will enter a new era of kingdoms, where the rulers in the Middle East hold all the economic cards. They control both renewables and oil reserves, and will expand their influence behind the curtains of western democracies.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Isabel
Local politics will become more participatory and inclusive, while national and global issues are like a grand theatre of ever polarised opinions that only serve vested interests, as they do now. People will largely be appeased because their decentralised local governments work well.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Western countries will see further alienation of their citizens from and distrust in democratic institutions.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
The mandates of international organizations are as challenged today as we have ever known, making it impossible to reach consensus on a global scale. Meanwhile, more fluid organizational structures are emerging, ones that are based on shifting values.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Alisa Belmas
As authoritarian countries face little consequence for their actions, incl war conflicts and human rights violations, authoritarian regimes gain a sense of empowerment. This is contributing to a decline in the democracy index worldwide.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
The increasing complexity and accelerating impact of global crises will further benefit populist and anti-democratic movements.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
We will find new forms for citizen participation and representation in democratic institutions and processes.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
As we move further away from the idea of nation-states and strengthen the power of cities and regions, we create new opportunities for citizens to identify with and participate in democratic processes
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
I believe that the future of Democracy depends on another topics thar must be discussed besides the influence of AI, like Education and corruption. I agree that we must change step by step starting to give more power to small communities to really represent the will of the people.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Alex
Inefficiency in politics, due to slow decision-making, will lead to increased frustration among the people.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Galdino Pedron
Democracy was an overrated popularity contest and good enough while it lasted. A different system is emerging and taking its place.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Room 1
We might witness a merit-based system for determining voting eligibility, potentially grounded in factors such as knowledge and education. To implement this, a balanced and equitable system would need to be developed to assess these qualifications and decide who is granted the right to vote.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Room 1
Government systems evolve past the stage of mere popularity contests and focus on substantive policies and leadership qualities that truly benefit the public.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Mariajosé
The integration of blockchain technology into government procedures can facilitate the elimination of corruption and enhance transparency. Consequently, this would allow citizens to more accurately assess and rate the performance of governments and political parties, leading to more informed decisio
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Room 1
We might see the perpetuation of the tragedy of commons, where individual self-interest undermines the well-being of the community as a whole.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Mariajose
We are transitioning from a representative democracy to a participative one, where governance becomes less centralized and citizens play a more active role in decision-making processes.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Room 1
Incorporating public input into the formulation of public budgets will become the norm.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Room 1
We might see a system of "extreme voting". Every decision is subject to a vote, allowing for exhaustive direct democratic participation.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Growing economic problems will further destabilize democracy in many countries around the world.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Democracy integrates a way to "measure" the quality of its citizens in order to allow them to participate.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Alisa Belmas
As the number of climate refugees rises, there's a corresponding rise in populist movements in the countries that host these refugees.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
Galdino Pedron
An aggressive democratic system, akin to that of Switzerland, invites citizens to constantly vote on a wide array of issues, thereby ensuring persistent and direct public involvement in governance.
1/2
How certain do you find this?
uncertain
certain
How desirable do you find this?
undesirable
desirable
Submit
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Community Challenge
What might the futures of democracy look like?
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Discover the real-time results from the interactive survey.
View survey results and scenarios
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View the real-time results from this interactive survey
Get an overview of the results by reading the AI-generated summaries. For more details, examine the individual opinions and their ratings on the Futures Canvas.
Political
4 Ratings
Anonymous
Western countries will see further alienation of their citizens from and distrust in democratic institutions.
75% certain
14% disagreement
32% desirable
27% disagreement
Political
5 Ratings
Anonymous
The increasing complexity and accelerating impact of global crises will further benefit populist and anti-democratic movements.
66% certain
33% disagreement
8% desirable
4% disagreement
Political
6 Ratings
Anonymous
Growing economic problems will further destabilize democracy in many countries around the world.
88% certain
12% disagreement
9% desirable
7% disagreement
Political
5 Ratings
Anonymous
We will find new forms for citizen participation and representation in democratic institutions and processes.
69% certain
23% disagreement
83% desirable
18% disagreement
Political
5 Ratings
Anonymous
As we move further away from the idea of nation-states and strengthen the power of cities and regions, we create new opportunities for citizens to identify with and participate in democratic processes
43% certain
32% disagreement
86% desirable
9% disagreement
Political
5 Ratings
Anonymous
I believe that the future of Democracy depends on another topics thar must be discussed besides the influence of AI, like Education and corruption. I agree that we must change step by step starting to give more power to small communities to really represent the will of the people.
60% certain
31% disagreement
69% desirable
19% disagreement
Political
4 Ratings
Anonymous
The mandates of international organizations are as challenged today as we have ever known, making it impossible to reach consensus on a global scale. Meanwhile, more fluid organizational structures are emerging, ones that are based on shifting values.
66% certain
24% disagreement
56% desirable
22% disagreement
Political
6 Ratings
Anonymous
Democracy integrates a way to "measure" the quality of its citizens in order to allow them to participate.
31% certain
12% disagreement
40% desirable
32% disagreement
Political
5 Ratings
Alex
Inefficiency in politics, due to slow decision-making, will lead to increased frustration among the people.
80% certain
22% disagreement
20% desirable
15% disagreement
Political
5 Ratings
Galdino Pedron
Democracy was an overrated popularity contest and good enough while it lasted. A different system is emerging and taking its place.
45% certain
38% disagreement
21% desirable
19% disagreement
Political
4 Ratings
Alisa Belmas
As authoritarian countries face little consequence for their actions, incl war conflicts and human rights violations, authoritarian regimes gain a sense of empowerment. This is contributing to a decline in the democracy index worldwide.
79% certain
14% disagreement
2% desirable
3% disagreement
Political
6 Ratings
Alisa Belmas
As the number of climate refugees rises, there's a corresponding rise in populist movements in the countries that host these refugees.
62% certain
30% disagreement
8% desirable
8% disagreement
Political
5 Ratings
Room 1
We might witness a merit-based system for determining voting eligibility, potentially grounded in factors such as knowledge and education. To implement this, a balanced and equitable system would need to be developed to assess these qualifications and decide who is granted the right to vote.
15% certain
12% disagreement
20% desirable
25% disagreement
Political
5 Ratings
Room 1
Government systems evolve past the stage of mere popularity contests and focus on substantive policies and leadership qualities that truly benefit the public.
18% certain
5% disagreement
94% desirable
6% disagreement
Political
5 Ratings
Mariajosé
The integration of blockchain technology into government procedures can facilitate the elimination of corruption and enhance transparency. Consequently, this would allow citizens to more accurately assess and rate the performance of governments and political parties, leading to more informed decisio
54% certain
16% disagreement
68% desirable
7% disagreement
Social
5 Ratings
Room 1
We might see the perpetuation of the tragedy of commons, where individual self-interest undermines the well-being of the community as a whole.
74% certain
15% disagreement
17% desirable
11% disagreement
Political
6 Ratings
Galdino Pedron
An aggressive democratic system, akin to that of Switzerland, invites citizens to constantly vote on a wide array of issues, thereby ensuring persistent and direct public involvement in governance.
24% certain
20% disagreement
72% desirable
11% disagreement
Political
5 Ratings
Mariajose
We are transitioning from a representative democracy to a participative one, where governance becomes less centralized and citizens play a more active role in decision-making processes.
50% certain
26% disagreement
84% desirable
9% disagreement
Political
5 Ratings
Room 1
Incorporating public input into the formulation of public budgets will become the norm.
55% certain
23% disagreement
77% desirable
8% disagreement
Political
5 Ratings
Room 1
We might see a system of "extreme voting". Every decision is subject to a vote, allowing for exhaustive direct democratic participation.
20% certain
12% disagreement
36% desirable
23% disagreement
Political
3 Ratings
Isabel
Local politics will become more participatory and inclusive, while national and global issues are like a grand theatre of ever polarised opinions that only serve vested interests, as they do now. People will largely be appeased because their decentralised local governments work well.
62% certain
4% disagreement
54% desirable
17% disagreement
Political
1 Ratings
Isabel
The global south will turn fully on western democracies and often choose security over freedom. They will ally themselves with eastern players such as China and India and also Russia. The West will loose power to the East.
6% certain
0% disagreement
9% desirable
0% disagreement
Political
1 Ratings
Isabel
We will enter a new era of kingdoms, where the rulers in the Middle East hold all the economic cards. They control both renewables and oil reserves, and will expand their influence behind the curtains of western democracies.
80% certain
0% disagreement
0% desirable
0% disagreement
certain
uncertain
desirable
undesirable
Positive Expectations
Hopeful Dreams
Distant Threats
Expected Challenges
23 Opinions
106 Ratings
Resulting future scenarios
Based on their ratings, submitted opinions have been compiled into four distinct future scenarios, autonomously generated by artificial intelligence.
Positive Expectations
Democracy Faces New Challenges
Expected Challenges
Growing Disconnect Threatens Global Democracy
Hopeful Dreams
Shift from Representative to Participative Democracy Sparks Citizen Involvement
Distant Threats
Future of Democracy: Assessing Citizens, Direct Participation, Power Shift, and Middle Eastern Influence

Democracy Faces New Challenges

Based on 6 opinions and 27 ratings.
View individual opinions in the Futures Canvas by filtering for the sector "Positive Expectations".
  • Citizen participation and representation in democratic institutions could evolve with the influence of AI.
  • More flexible organizational structures are emerging due to challenges faced by international organizations.
  • Incorporating public input into public budgets will become the norm, giving citizens more say.

In the future, citizen participation and representation in democratic institutions and processes could take on new forms. Alongside the influence of AI, other important topics such as education and corruption must also be discussed to ensure the future of democracy. It is suggested that gradually empowering small communities could help better represent the will of the people.

The mandates of international organizations are currently facing significant challenges, making it difficult to reach consensus on a global scale. As a result, more flexible organizational structures are emerging, based on shifting values.

Incorporating public input into the formulation of public budgets is expected to become the norm. This means that citizens will have a greater say in how public funds are allocated.

Local politics will likely become more participatory and inclusive, while national and global issues may continue to be dominated by polarized opinions that serve vested interests. However, the effectiveness of decentralized local governments could help appease people.

The global south may increasingly turn away from western democracies and prioritize security over freedom. They may form alliances with eastern players such as China, India, and Russia. As a result, the power balance could shift from the West to the East.

In this future era, rulers in the Middle East, who control both renewable energy and oil reserves, may hold significant economic power. They could expand their influence behind the scenes of western democracies, leading to a new era of kingdoms.

Growing Disconnect Threatens Global Democracy

Based on 8 opinions and 36 ratings.
View individual opinions in the Futures Canvas by filtering for the sector "Expected Challenges".
  • Western countries may experience a further disconnect between citizens and democratic institutions.
  • Democracy may face destabilization worldwide due to mounting economic problems.
  • Middle Eastern rulers may expand their influence behind the scenes of Western democracies.

In the coming years, Western countries may experience a further disconnect between their citizens and democratic institutions, leading to increased distrust. This could be fueled by the growing complexity and impact of global crises, which may benefit populist and anti-democratic movements. Furthermore, democracy may face destabilization worldwide due to mounting economic problems. Inefficient decision-making in politics might also contribute to rising frustration among the people.

Some argue that democracy, once seen as a highly valued system, is now considered an overrated popularity contest. They suggest that a different system is emerging to replace it. Additionally, authoritarian regimes seem to face little consequence for their actions, including engaging in war conflicts and violating human rights. This lack of accountability empowers these regimes, resulting in a decline in the global democracy index.

As the number of climate refugees continues to rise, countries hosting them might experience a rise in populist movements. This correlation indicates a potential connection between the two phenomena. Moreover, there is a concern that the tragedy of the commons may persist, where individual self-interest undermines the well-being of the entire community.

Looking ahead, there is a possibility of entering a new era dominated by Middle Eastern rulers. These rulers hold significant economic power, controlling both renewable energy resources and oil reserves. They may expand their influence behind the scenes of Western democracies, potentially shaping global dynamics in the process.

Shift from Representative to Participative Democracy Sparks Citizen Involvement

Based on 3 opinions and 16 ratings.
View individual opinions in the Futures Canvas by filtering for the sector "Hopeful Dreams".
  • Power of cities and regions growing, leading to new opportunities for citizen engagement in democratic processes.
  • Shift from representative democracy to participative democracy, with citizens having a more active role in decision-making.
  • Possibility of a rise in kingdoms, particularly in the Middle East, with rulers holding significant economic influence.

As the power of cities and regions grows, moving away from nation-states, new opportunities arise for citizens to engage in democratic processes. Government systems are evolving beyond popularity contests, focusing on substantive policies and leadership qualities that truly benefit the public. Similar to Switzerland, an aggressive democratic system encourages citizens to vote on a wide range of issues, ensuring continuous and direct public involvement in governance. This transition signifies a shift from representative democracy to a participative one, where governance becomes less centralized and citizens have a more active role in decision-making. However, we might also see the rise of a new era of kingdoms, particularly in the Middle East, where rulers hold significant economic influence. Controlling both renewables and oil reserves, they could potentially expand their power behind the scenes of western democracies.

Future of Democracy: Assessing Citizens, Direct Participation, Power Shift, and Middle Eastern Influence

Based on 5 opinions and 22 ratings.
View individual opinions in the Futures Canvas by filtering for the sector "Distant Threats".
  • Future democracy could evaluate citizens' capabilities for participation, possibly through a merit-based system.
  • "Extreme voting" system may allow for extensive direct democratic participation, leading to a more exhaustive democracy.
  • Anticipated shift in power from the West to the East, with global south countries aligning with eastern players.

In a democracy, citizens are given the opportunity to participate, and their quality may be evaluated to determine their eligibility. One possibility is the introduction of a merit-based system, which could consider factors like knowledge and education when deciding who can vote. However, to implement this system, a fair and balanced method would be necessary to assess these qualifications and determine voting rights.

Another potential development could be the emergence of an "extreme voting" system, where every decision is put to a vote. This would allow for extensive direct democratic participation, ensuring that citizens have a say in all matters.

In the future, there may be a shift in power dynamics as the global south increasingly turns towards western democracies. In many cases, they might prioritize security over freedom and form alliances with eastern players like China, India, and Russia. This shift could lead to a decline in the influence of western democracies, with power shifting towards the east.

Overall, the future of democracy could involve the implementation of a merit-based voting system and the rise of extreme voting. Additionally, the global south might align itself with eastern powers, potentially leading to a redistribution of global power.

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